Ice sheet contributions to sea level rise in 2100 based on the results of structured expert judgement


Individual ice sheet contributions to sea level rise for 2100 (a) low and (b) high temperature scenarios for East Antarctica (EAIS), West Antarctica (WAIS) and Greenland (GrIS). The plots were generated from 50,000 realizations of the relevant probability distributions based on the outcomes of Structured Expert Judgement, a process by which individual experts’ views are combined and weighted in a statistically robust manner. Horizontal bars indicate the 5th, 50th, and 95th percentile values. Also shown is the likely range (17th and 83rd percentiles) as used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) plus (in grey) the total Antarctic ice sheet contribution. Chart: Richard Westaway Source: Bamber et al (2019)